U.S. rice exports to Mexico declined markedly in 2025 amid rising international competition. According to the Federation of U.S. Rice, shipments to the Mexican market dropped by 40% between January and November of last year.
During that period, the United States exported 549,600 tons of rice to Mexico, down from 916,000 tons in 2024. In value terms, exports reached $221 million in the first 11 months of 2025, a significant decrease compared with the $456 million recorded the previous year, based on figures from the Bank of Mexico.
The decline comes as Mexico increased rice imports from alternative suppliers such as Thailand, Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay, following policies that allowed duty-free imports to boost supply. Mexico’s domestic production covers only a fraction of its annual rice consumption, making the country highly dependent on imports.
As a result, the U.S. share of Mexico’s rice market has continued to erode, falling from more than three-quarters in 2018 to less than 70% in recent years. South American exporters have gained ground, supported by similar tariff conditions and competitive logistics.
Uruguay emerged as a key supplier in 2025, with rice exports to Mexico nearly tripling in value and reaching close to 300,000 tons. Brazil also expanded its presence sharply, while Paraguay entered the market with more than 50,000 tons exported after having no shipments the previous year. Thailand remained an important supplier, although its sales declined year over year.
Source: Forbes México
