rivate-sector economists have revised their inflation outlook for Mexico in 2026, suggesting price pressures could remain slightly higher than previously expected.
According to a survey of 42 economic research and consulting groups, the consensus forecast for headline inflation at the end of 2026 was raised from 3.95% to 4%.
Analysts also believe the timeline for inflation to return to the 3% target set by the Banco de México may be longer than previously projected.
Core inflation — which excludes more volatile price components — is now expected to reach 4.17% in 2026, while the forecast for 2027 was slightly revised down to 3.74%.
Economists also estimate that Mexico’s consumer price index may have risen around 0.46% in February, potentially making it one of the months with the strongest price increases this year if confirmed.
In the same survey, analysts kept their outlook for the benchmark interest rate unchanged, projecting it will stand at 6.50% by the end of the period.
Meanwhile, expectations for economic growth were revised slightly upward, with forecasts for 2026 increasing from 1.30% to 1.50%, while the projection for 2027 remained at 1.80%.
Source: Uniradio Informa
